Assembling the pieces of an NFL franchise’s success or failure is a complex and often scrutinized endeavor. One of the most dissected examples in recent history involves John Elway, the former general manager for the Denver Broncos, and his decision-making in the NFL draft.
The Josh Allen Decision
In the 2018 NFL draft, Elway made a decision that has been questioned ever since. With the fifth overall pick, Elway passed on quarterback Josh Allen and instead selected Bradley Chubb, a pass rusher from NC State. At the time, Elway had high hopes vested in Case Keenum, a quarterback who had shown promise. Elway’s choice was influenced by his belief in Keenum's potential, leading him to bolster the team’s defense with Chubb.
Reflecting on that moment, Elway has expressed his regrets: “Last year I played [golf] with him and I'm wondering, 'How long is it going to take him to realize that I passed on him and took Bradley Chubb instead?' And it took him two and a half holes. And I loved him. But it just didn't work out. He was my type. That was probably my biggest mistake of my GM days, was not taking Josh.”
Struggles and Transitions
Bradley Chubb’s tenure in Denver was marred by health issues, and he was eventually traded to the Miami Dolphins. Meanwhile, Josh Allen has flourished with the Buffalo Bills, becoming one of the league’s premier quarterbacks. This contrast in career trajectories underscores the significance of Elway’s decision in 2018.
Elway’s tenure with the Broncos was marked by a mix of early success and subsequent struggles. Having rejoined the Broncos in 2011 as the director of player personnel, Elway was named executive vice president of football operations in 2012. His early years as general manager were impressive, boasting a record of 64-26 in his first five seasons. However, the latter half of his tenure was less successful, with a record of 32-48 in his final five seasons.
The Quarterback Carousel
One of the most glaring issues during Elway’s time as general manager was the instability at the quarterback position. Since Peyton Manning’s retirement following the 2015 season, the Broncos have cycled through 13 different starting quarterbacks. This revolving door at the crucial quarterback position has significantly impacted the team’s performance, contributing to their failure to make the playoffs since their Super Bowl win in the 2015 season.
One notable miss was Paxton Lynch, whom Elway drafted in 2016. Lynch started only four games before his eventual release in 2018, failing to live up to the expectations placed upon him. This, along with the decision to pass on Allen, are seen as critical missteps in Elway’s draft strategy.
Legacy and Lessons
Elway stepped away from his role following the 2020 season, leaving behind a legacy that is both celebrated and critiqued. His early successes, including a Super Bowl victory and consistent playoff appearances, cannot be ignored. However, the latter part of his tenure, marked by questionable draft decisions and instability at the quarterback position, has left a complex legacy.
The story of John Elway's time as the general manager of the Denver Broncos serves as a poignant reminder of the challenges and uncertainties that come with building an NFL team. Decisions made in the draft can resonate for years, shaping the trajectory of both players and franchises. For Elway, the decision to pass on Josh Allen remains a particularly telling chapter in his storied career.